Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Barrick Gold Corporation ABX stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Barrick Gold has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 26.6, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares unfavorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 17.2. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Barrick Gold’s current PE ratio somewhat above its midpoint (which is 20.1) over the past five years.
Nonetheless, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 29.9. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Barrick Gold has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 32.5, so it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near future.
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Barrick Gold has a P/S ratio of about 2.1. This is considerably lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.1 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is somewhat below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, this suggests some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Barrick Gold currently has a Value Style Score of B, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes ABX a solid choice for value investors.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Barrick Gold might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of D and a Momentum score of D. This gives ABX a VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of C. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >> )
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been disappointing. The current quarter has seen one estimate go higher in the past sixty days and three lower, while the full year estimate has seen two upward and six downward revisions in the same time period.
This has had a noticeable impact on the consensus estimate, as the current quarter consensus estimate has plunged 25% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has declined 20.8%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Barrick Gold Corporation Price and Consensus
Barrick Gold Corporation Price and Consensus | Barrick Gold Corporation Quote
This bearish trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Barrick Gold is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (bottom 25% out of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past one year, the sector has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
So, value investors might want to wait for estimates, analyst sentiment and broader factors to turn favorable in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
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